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Interactive Calculator · GST · India

ITC Leakage Calculator: Quantify GST Input Tax Credit Loss

Estimate the GST input tax credit you are losing each year — permanently, to non-filing suppliers, and temporarily, to suppliers who file late and tie up working capital. Adjust the inputs to your scale; the calculation updates instantly. Methodology and assumptions below.

Your purchase profile

₹1 Cr ₹500 Cr

Total purchases on which ITC could in principle be claimed — exclude exempt supplies, blocked credits under Section 17(5), and unregistered-supplier purchases.

20 3,000

Distinct GST-registered suppliers in your purchase ledger. Each is a counterparty whose GSTR-1 filing affects your GSTR-2B.

5% 28%

Blended GST rate across your purchase mix. Common defaults: 12% for services-heavy mix, 14–16% balanced mid-market, 18% goods-heavy.

40% 98%

Share of your suppliers whose GSTR-1 reflects in your GSTR-2B by the standard cut-off. The rest splits between late filers (recoverable) and non-filers (permanent leakage).

30 days 365 days

Average days between booking the purchase and the supplier's invoice appearing in GSTR-2B for late-filing cases. This is the working-capital window.

Estimated annual ITC at risk
₹3.08 Cr
Total ITC value tied up in late filings or lost to non-filers each year.
Where the ITC sits
78% claimed on time 15% late filed 7% permanent leakage
Permanent leakage
₹98 L
non-filing suppliers — not recoverable without sourcing change
Working capital locked
₹2.10 Cr
in transit while late filers catch up
Interest cost on locked WC
₹4.66 L
at 9% blended · 90-day lag
Analyst hours per year
238 hrs/yr
monthly GSTR-2B chase · 6 min/exception

How the estimate decomposes

The headline number is the sum of permanent leakage (lost ITC) plus working-capital interest on lagged ITC. Below is the full step-by-step.

Step Description Value
1 Annual purchases (GST-eligible) ₹100,00,00,000
2 Effective ITC rate 14%
3 Total ITC entitlement (Step 1 × Step 2) ₹14,00,00,000
4 Late-filed ITC (lagged) — suppliers filing late ₹2,10,00,000
5 Permanent leakage — non-filers, dropped credits ₹98,00,000
6 Avg lag in days, expressed as fraction of year 90 / 365 = 0.247
7 Interest at 9% on lagged ITC (Step 4 × 9% × Step 6) ₹4,66,028
8 Monthly GSTR-2B exceptions to clear (suppliers off-time / 12) 8 exceptions/month
9 Analyst hours per year (suppliers off-time × 12 months × 6 min) 238 hours

Methodology and assumptions

Lagged vs lost split

Of the suppliers who do not file on time, the calculator assumes 70% are late filers (eventually appear in GSTR-2B and recoverable as ITC) and 30% are permanent leakage (non-filers, composition suppliers, GSTIN errors not corrected in time).

Cost of funds

9% blended is approximately RBI repo plus a 200–250 bps spread typical for Indian mid-market working-capital lines. Adjust mentally if your treasury rate differs.

Analyst time

6 minutes per exception per supplier per month covers GSTR-2B reconciliation, supplier follow-up email, and correction posting in the purchase register. Excludes DRC-01B/01C drafting effort.

Filing-rate baselines

Without structured GSTR-2B reconciliation, on-time filing in the buyer's ledger typically lands at 70–80%. With reconciliation tooling and structured supplier follow-up, 90–95% is achievable.

This calculator is an estimator, not a substitute for actual GSTR-2B reconciliation. Real exposure depends on supplier mix, sector, GST rate distribution across purchases, and your purchase-register hygiene. For the regulatory framework refer to the GST portal and Rule 36(4) of the CGST Rules.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is GST ITC leakage? +

ITC leakage is the input tax credit that the buyer is structurally entitled to under GST but does not actually claim — usually because the supplier has not filed GSTR-1 within the relevant tax period, has filed it with errors (wrong GSTIN, wrong invoice number, wrong tax period), or is non-compliant (small supplier outside GST or chronically late). Under Rule 36(4), ITC can only be claimed when the supplier-side invoice appears in GSTR-2B. Anything missing from GSTR-2B is leakage — either permanent or carried in working capital until it eventually reflects.

How is the leakage estimate calculated? +

The calculator multiplies your annual purchases by the effective ITC rate to derive total ITC entitlement. It then applies your indicated supplier-filing-rate to split the ITC into three buckets: claimed-on-time (suppliers filing within the standard GSTR-1 window), claimed-with-lag (suppliers filing late, generating working-capital cost), and permanently leaked (suppliers who do not file at all — typically chronic non-filers or unregistered counterparties whose invoices are not eligible). Working capital interest applies your blended cost of funds to the lagged bucket over the average lag period.

What are the most common reasons ITC leaks under GST? +

Five recurring reasons. First, supplier files GSTR-1 after the buyer's books are closed for the period — credit appears in a future GSTR-2B and bridges working capital. Second, supplier files with a typo on the buyer's GSTIN or invoice number — the credit lands in nobody's GSTR-2B and has to be reconciled through DRC-01B/01C. Third, supplier is below the GST registration threshold — the buyer cannot claim ITC at all (composition or unregistered supply). Fourth, supplier files but uses the wrong tax period — the credit appears but at the wrong point and may breach Rule 36(4) timing. Fifth, supplier issues a credit note that the buyer has not yet booked — the GSTR-2B shows a net lower than the buyer expects.

What does Rule 36(4) actually say about ITC matching? +

Rule 36(4) of the CGST Rules limits ITC claimable in GSTR-3B to the credit reflected in the buyer's GSTR-2B for that tax period. There is no longer a 5% or 10% provisional ITC buffer — the rule is now a hard 100% match. Practically: if the supplier has not filed GSTR-1 by the GSTR-2B cut-off (typically the 14th of the following month), the buyer cannot claim that ITC for that period regardless of whether they hold a tax invoice. The credit moves to a future month or, if the supplier never files, drops out entirely.

How does TransactIG handle GSTR-2B reconciliation? +

TransactIG ingests GSTR-2B from the GST portal and your purchase register from the ERP, matches every supplier-side invoice against your booked invoice on GSTIN, invoice number, tax period, and tax amount, and routes mismatches into a structured supplier-level exception register. Filing-pending exceptions are tagged for follow-up; GSTIN/typo exceptions are routed for DRC-01C action; permanent leakage cases (composition suppliers, non-filers) are surfaced for sourcing review. Match rates improve from 51% baseline to 88% on live customer data after configuration.

Stop carrying ITC leakage as a quiet margin tax

TransactIG ingests GSTR-2B and your purchase register, matches every supplier-side invoice, and surfaces filing gaps and DRC-01B/01C cases at supplier level. Implementation 2–4 weeks, ISO 27001:2022, AWS Mumbai.

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